Commentary
Find our newspaper columns, blogs, and other commentary pieces in this section. Our research focuses on Advanced Biology, High-Tech Geopolitics, Strategic Studies, Indo-Pacific Studies & Economic Policy
Should India make tactical nukes to counter China? Delhi’s no-first-use rule has no room for it
By Lt. Gen. Prakash Menon
On 25 March, Russian President Vladimir Putin announced Moscow’s intention to deploy Tactical Nuclear Weapons or TNWs in Belarus. He added that Russia was doing what has been a norm for North Atlantic Treaty Organization. Periodically, during the Ukraine war, Putin and some members of Russia’s senior hierarchy have been bringing up the topic of nuclear weapons to keep the nuclear threat alive. The strategic effect sought to be achieved is to warn NATO member countries and reduce their role in the war. The Russian nuclear threats have probably not had their intended effects, considering the increase in the supply of military wherewithal to Ukraine, including offensive weapons like fighter aircraft, tanks, and missiles. The Belarus deployment is probably indicative of Russia adopting a different route to achieve the same intention. From the reaction of the NATO, it seems this threat would also not work to the degree that Russia expects.
India's Policy Towards China Must Leverage Latter's Two-Front Situation
By Amit Kumar
While a ‘two-front’ dilemma has posed a critical security challenge to India for quite some time, China fears a similar situation, which hasn’t received enough attention within Indian strategic circles. China first grew anxious about a developing two-front threat in the early 1950s. After the Communist Party of China won the civil war against the Guomindang (GMD) nationalist government and forced the latter to flee to Taiwan in 1949, it feared a US-backed GMD invasion from the east. On its western front along the Himalayas, China was wary of Indian interference in Tibet and accused it of colluding with the US to instigate secessionist tendencies during the 1950s and early 1960s.
Fiscal Priorities for Sikkim
By Sarthak Pradhan
In a recent speech, Chief Minister of Sikkim, Prem Singh Tamang (Golay) announced the integration of more developmental projects in the upcoming budget. The successful execution of public projects and the effective implementation of government policies are contingent on the state's healthy fiscal situation. As the Sikkim Government prepares to present the budget, here is a look at the state's financial situation.
Deccan Herald | A case for marriage equality
By Saurabh Todi
On March 13, the Supreme Court of India referred a batch of petitions seeking legal recognition for same-sex marriages (or marriage equality) to a constitution bench. The Union government opposed these petitions, stating that it is not comparable to the Indian family unit, and that recognition of marriages is a legislative function, not a judicial one. Legal scholars have argued that not granting legal recognition to same-sex marriages violates fundamental rights guaranteed by the Indian Constitution, such as Articles 14, 15, 19, and 21. They cite the NALSA judgment (2014), the Puttaswamy judgment (2017), and the Navtej Singh Johar judgment (2018) as the most consequential in this regard. While marriage equality has a strong constitutional case, socio-cultural consensus is also important.
Read the full article here
Resolve HR issues in Navy, Army, Air Force on 3 levels. Then bring in Theatre Command System
By Lt. Gen. Prakash Menon
The issue of Human Resources in the Indian armed forces is likely to throw up progressively increasing challenges when the Theatre Command System becomes operational. It has, therefore, become absolutely necessary to resolve those issues before the restructuring gets underway. This article seeks to examine three HR issues that have lingered and defied resolution despite their manifestation since long in the integrated tri-Services structures such as Andaman & Nicobar Command, Strategic Forces Command, and several other establishments. Resolution of these issues can no longer be ignored lest solutions emerge in more painful ways.
Mint | The entry of foreign firms should herald more legal sector reforms
By Shrikrishna Upadhyaya
In a surprise move, the Bar Council of India (BCI) has taken a reformatory step towards allowing foreign lawyers and foreign law firms to practise and set up offices in India. This comes after multiple rounds of litigation before various high courts and the Supreme Court of India, where the BCI and several bar associations had opposed the move.
‘Two Sessions’ Later, How China's Contradictory Policies Will Impact India
By Amit Kumar
China’s ‘two sessions’ – the congregation of its two topmost deliberative bodies namely, the National People’s Congress (NPC), the country’s top legislature, and the Chinese People’s Political Consultative Conference (CPPCC), the top advisory body, recently concluded in Beijing.
We mustn’t let young minds live in constant fear of an apocalypse
By Nitin Pai
Prominent ‘tech bros’ are now predicting a catastrophic financial crisis in the US leading to hyperinflation and apocalypse. It’s funny how people who took zero interest rates for granted, made fantastic predictions about techno-utopias but failed to plan for something as predictable as changes in interest rates are now forecasting the end of the world as we know it. They are not alone.
A look at the fiscal health of Goa
By Sarthak Pradhan
Goa Chief Minister has announced that the upcoming state budget will be "futuristic & realistic" and has hinted at focused attention to specific sectors. The successful implementation of various budgetary proposals depends on the state's fiscal health - the ability of the state to mobilise enough revenues and spend it efficiently. Thus, it is imperative to look at the fiscal performance of Goa. This article attempts to analyse the state's fiscal concerns and seeks to figure out solutions.
Lessons for RBI from its mandate that made recurring payments a nightmare
By Bharath Reddy & Anupam Manur
The frustrating experience of a recurring card payment to a foreign merchant failing and the card being declined is one which is all too familiar for most of us. Every now and then, you can find someone complaining about failed card payments on social media. This is largely due to the onerous regulations put forth by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI). The RBI had mandated that from October 1, 2021, for every recurring transaction below Rs 5,000, banks must send a notification at least 24 hours before the renewal date. For amounts over Rs 5,000, a one-time password was required to authorise every transaction.
Why Theatre Commands must be accompanied by a Uniform Military Code
By Lt. Gen. Prakash Menon
The Inter-Services Organisations (Command, Control and Discipline) Bill 2023 was introduced in the Lok Sabha last week. The Bill empowers the Commander-in-Chief or the Officers-in-Command of inter-Services organisations to exercise administrative and disciplinary powers as laid down, over persons of individual services in their establishments. Disciplinary action would, however, only be taken under the Army, Navy and Air Force Act as applicable to an individual. Hitherto, the practice has been that if a naval officer/other rank were to commit an offence at the Defence Services Staff College Wellington, an inter-Service institution, the Commandant, a three star General, would repatriate the officer/rating to a naval organisation, where he would be tried under the Navy Act 1957.
For India’s AI ambitions, the time to act is now
By Shailesh Chitnis
On May 17, 2017, AlphaGo, an Artificial Intelligence (AI) system built by Google’s DeepMind, defeated Ke Jie, China’s leading player in the board game, Go. In his book AI Superpowers, Kai-Fu Lee cites this as the seminal moment in China’s AI awakening. Considered the hardest game to master, Go’s dominance by a computer roused the government into action. Within a few months, Beijing announced plans to dominate AI by 2030.
It is time to ask if the panchayati raj model really works for India
By Nitin Pai
We have had three decades of decentralized local governments. Next month will mark the 30th anniversary of panchayati raj, when the 73rd and 74th amendments gave Constitutional status to rural panchayats and urban municipal councils. The conventional wisdom is that panchayati raj is a great idea, the amendments were faulty and while local government has created tens of thousands of local politicians, improvements in local governance itself have been marginal.
India’s rapid digitisation has one major casualty—cybersecurity
By Lt. Gen. Prakash Menon
India’s impressive progress in digitisation is certainly revolutionising how citizens and other State entities conduct their affairs. But the nation’s growing reliance on cyberspace has highlighted the promises and perils of an ancient strategic lore – increased dependency could also mean greater vulnerability. India’s vulnerability in the cyber domain has, for long, been recognised as a national security issue. In 2013, a National Cyber Security Policy was issued, which flagged the complexity and dynamic nature of cyberspace, and the need to unify actions guided by an integrated vision and a set of sustained and coordinated strategies.
Why Access to Protein is Important
By Shambhavi Naik
The Global Nutrition Report tracks progress on six global nutrition targets identified by the World Health Organisation (WHO) and aims to be achieved by 2025. In 2021, it noted that India is ‘on course’ to meet three of these targets – those for maternal, infant and young child nutrition. However, it also observed that 34.7 percent of children under five years of age continue to be affected with stunting. This rate is higher than the average for the Asia region. In addition, it reported that “India has made no progress towards achieving the target for wasting, with 17.3 percent of children under five years of age affected, which is higher than the average for the Asia region (8.9 percent) and among the highest in the world.”
MHA push for 7 new ITBP battalions is playing into China’s hands. India is wasting assets
By Lt. Gen. Prakash Menon
It is said that political power is a psychological relationship between those who exercise it and those over whom it is exercised. That said, creating alternative realities for its citizens may have become the government’s preferred method to manage domestic cognition as China continues its aggression on our northern border. Statements and actions of the head honchos of India’s Statecraft indicate that though they have succeeded in preserving political ascendency in the domestic sphere, they may have conceded psychological dominance to China. If so, does it augur well for India’s ability to perform in growing geopolitical contestations?
We ought to look at English language through another lens
By Nitin Pai
A discussion over the role of the English language in India is a difficult one to have, because it means different things to different people in different places at different times. These include overthrowing residues of the Raj, finding a common language to communicate across massive linguistic diversity, contesting snobbery and condescension towards Indian languages, managing the rural-urban divide, driving a vehicle of social justice and choosing the best medium of instruction in the education system.
Driving Big Tech out of India would be a mistake
By Shailesh Chitnis
When two senior government ministers launched India's first homegrown mobile operating system at a ceremony last month, they hailed the project for its potential to bust monopolies without mentioning any particular one. They did not have to. While most attempts at creating a new mobile operating system fail, the government's clear intention was to put Google on notice by championing an unproven local alternative. The search giant, whose Android software powers more than 95% of smartphones in India, has been facing increased scrutiny in one of its largest markets.
China Is Eager To Change Its Diplomatic Tone To Launch A Charm Offensive
By Anushka Saxena
The primary aim of Chinese foreign policy in the months to come will be to “reset its economy and win back friends.” The immediate focus of this appears to be European countries.
From Beijing’s perspective, this is essential given the backlash it has faced both internally and from governments of the West over its zero-COVID policy, and the Communist Party of China (CPC’s) crackdown on the private sector which caused the bursting of its property market bubble and ripple effects for real estate and big technology firms across the globe.
Agnipath scheme holds the key to a stronger army. The only hurdle is selection process
By Lt. Gen. Prakash Menon
The first batch of Agniveers enrolled under the Agnipath Scheme commenced training at the various recruit training institutions of the Armed Forces last month. Understandably, it will take a couple of years for the Armed Forces to crystallise the modifications required in the original scheme. During this period, two areas that would require a higher focus are the initial recruitment process and the recruit training.
The Army has already changed the recruitment process for the second batch by making the online exam the first step of the process. It is followed by physical fitness/measurement and medical tests. Earlier, the written exam that was conducted physically was the last step. This change will certainly reduce the overall administrative burden.