Commentary
Find our newspaper columns, blogs, and other commentary pieces in this section. Our research focuses on Advanced Biology, High-Tech Geopolitics, Strategic Studies, Indo-Pacific Studies & Economic Policy
In India’s Covid-19 challenge, China’s hopes and anxieties
The second wave of Covid-19 in India has been among the biggest international stories being covered across the Chinese media. The coverage reflects a sense of anxiety and opportunity.In terms of the former, there is concern about the spread of the so-called double mutant, or B.1.617 strain of the virus across the region and into China. A fresh wave of domestic outbreaks would be deeply damaging for the Communist Party, which declared victory against the virus last year, and would take a toll on China’s economic recovery. Likewise, a massive public health crisis across the Indian subcontinent, at the minimum, would hurt Chinese commercial interests and investments. At worst, it could result in a humanitarian catastrophe with the potential to stoke socio-political instability along China’s periphery.At the same time, the situation in India presents opportunities for Beijing. At the bare minimum, there is a commercial opportunity, given the shortage of emergency supplies, equipment and therapeutics. But, at a deeper level, there are geopolitical opportunities. This is reflected in the Chinese media’s critical coverage of the delayed response by the Joe Biden administration, the emphasis on China’s manufacturing prowess and its centrality to key supply chains, and foreign minister Wang Yi’s summit with his South Asian counterparts, which focused on health supplies and vaccines.
Centre raises hopes of free COVID-19 vaccine, but benevolence can't be at the cost of the economy
This article first appeared in the Firstpost. COVID-19 has assaulted the health of people and economies. The impact on the economy has led to further stress on people’s livelihoods. This unprecedented threat to public health has not been constrained by measures taken by national and state governments. All humankind is waiting with bated breath for a COVID-19 vaccine that can set us on a course to normalcy. The human and economic cost of COVID-19 has been immense and governments are stepping up to expedite vaccine availability.Given the vaccine’s huge impact on public health, it is reasonable to expect that the government makes it available free for all. The cost of undertaking this exercise would depend on a variety of factors – the cost of manufacturing, the cost of supply chain, and the cost of administration of the vaccine. For example, nucleic acid-based vaccines have to be stored at sub-zero temperatures and are costly to make and transport. (Read more)
India’s Covid data like counting potholes under streetlights. There are far more in the dark
There are two ways to deal with the uncertainties arising from the Covid-19 pandemic. The first is to take them as they come, and as I wrote in an earlier column, deal with the daily developments with a Stoic mind. To play the stroke according to the ball that comes your way. The second way is to try to get a sense of how things are likely to pan out, and prepare for them in advance to the extent possible. To have a game plan, but still be Stoic about it because things might not go the way you want. Most people can choose either way. But those who have to make personal, business or policy decisions that involve a longer horizon need some way to look beyond the here and the now. In other words, we need information that helps us estimate what might happen in the future. And this is where the problem lies.Read More
Modi govt mustn’t hesitate to make Covid vaccine free for Indians. It only costs Rs 80,000 cr
Adar Poonawalla’s recent tweet prompted some discussion on India’s vaccination strategy. The CEO of the Serum Institute of India, one of the world’s largest vaccine manufacturers, asked if “the government of India will have 80,000 crore available, over the next one year” to pay for the purchase and distribution of the Covid-19 vaccine to everyone in the country. My own colleagues estimate that it will cost between Rs 50,000-250,000 crore (depending on the vaccine) to vaccinate 80 percent of India’s population within a year.Read MoreYou can read the article in Hindi here.
COVID-19 vaccine deployment in India: Lessons we need to learn from the past
It appears that a vaccine(s) is the only way to stop COVID-19 and return the world to some semblance of normalcy. As the race inches to a close, everybody is waiting for their turn to get the vaccine and go meet their friends for a cup of coffee.However, there are several scientific hurdles that still need to be surpassed: how effective would the vaccine be across demographics? For how long will the vaccine confer immunity? Will the virus mutate, rendering the vaccine ineffective? Even if we get a combination of vaccines that answers these questions, the capacity to produce, distribute and monitor adverse events related to the vaccine are going to limit an effective vaccine rollout. Hence, it is important India identifies the vaccine demand, invests in capacity and communicates with the public to enable a smooth immunisation programme.
Lessons from COVID-19 testing
India’s response to detecting the COVID-19 outbreak was reactive, not proactive. For weeks COVID-19 testing was limited to authorised government laboratories, and available conditional on pre-determined criteria. Instead of scaling up testing capacity and aggressively test and trace, the government took a cautious approach, most likely to protect scarce testing resources. However, a strategy to ramp up both kit manufacture and early inclusion of private laboratories could have helped India’s response in containing the spread of the virus. (Read more)
Public lockdown discipline fast eroding, India risks becoming lax in Covid fight
India is in a crucial and especially dangerous phase of the coronavirus pandemic. With the relaxation of the national lockdown, public attention, media focus and the priorities of political leaders have shifted to other things. There is a sense — strengthened by Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s statement — that the lifting of the lockdown is progressive and linear, and Unlock 2 is sure to follow Unlock 1.
Cases are rising almost everywhere in the country, and the doubling rate is back to 18 days. Now, lifting the lockdown was necessary for reasons of survival, but it demanded that the administrative focus expand to ensure adequate physical and social distancing, hygiene, and contact traceability. It also demanded that people be put on notice that in case the course of the pandemic worsens, we should expect more containment zones and lockdowns. These did not happen. So while an admirably large number of people and businesses are acting responsibly, our encounters with non-mask-wearing people and crowded public places are increasing. The public discipline of the lockdown period is fast eroding and way too prematurely.
Get India back at work to secure the economy and employment
Consumers should get the benefit of falling oil prices
At a time when even deficit hawks are clamouring for an expansive fiscal policy to fight the severe economic consequences of Covid-19, it will be tempting for the government to exploit every opportunity to fund the welfare programmes. When oil prices first dropped to less than $30 per barrel, the Modi government had promptly increased the central excise duty. However, this will not result in increased revenue due to the enforced lockdowns and halting of economic activity.If the objective is to help the economy rebound and bolster government finances, there are better ways than raising petrol taxes. In fact, lowering it will increase the disposable income of consumers, who will go out and spend more on other goods and services. Apart from increasing incomes, it will also help the government collect higher indirect taxes. Many businesses, which are reliant on petrol, such as transport and logistics, will get a much-needed fillip by reduced petrol prices.Since the price of oil has a cascading effect on the general price level in the economy, maintaining petrol and diesel prices at the same level or increasing it can lead to higher inflation and can further dampen their demand. Moreover, additional revenue gained by the government is offset by increased subsidy payments and revenue foregone from sectors dependent on oil. Further, since petrol is outside the purview of GST, states will want their fair share as well and will competitively increase VAT on petrol.The additional amount that can be raised by petrol taxes is about Rs 30,000 crore, which will not make a dent to the Rs 8-10 lakh crore required for the post-pandemic economic revival package. It’s time to pass on the benefit to the consumers.This appeared in The Print's Talkpoint
Coronavirus economic crisis squeezes China’s plans to expand its navy as it marks 71st anniversary
China’s People’s Liberation Army Navy marks its 71st anniversary today. It comes amid intensified drills in the near seas and Western Pacific, along with deepening tensions in the South China Sea. The navy has been one of the biggest beneficiaries of Chinese President Xi Jinping’s military reforms.Driven by great power ambitions, Chinese naval shipbuilders have been churning out warships at a record pace over the past few years. Consequently, the Chinese navy today has the world’s largest deployable fleet of vessels. The irony, however, is that in the post-Covid-19 world, this expansion could prove to be the navy’s Achilles' heel.Read the full article in South China Morning Post
Coronavirus lockdown has given us a blank slate. We can write a new world when it lifts
A fact that strikes my public policy students — mostly working professionals from various backgrounds — quite early in their course is that most of India’s problems are hard to solve because they are log-jammed. The status quo is often a sub-optimal equilibrium, but an equilibrium nevertheless. Even if you try to change things, they fall back into the rut.Here’s an example that might appear familiar to you. The traffic junction is congested because of several interconnected reasons: there are too many vehicles, the road alignment is bad, the bus informally stops at the street corner blocking traffic, the auto-rickshaw stand is at a point that prevents vehicles from easily making a U-turn, pedestrians walk on the street because the footpath is blocked by vendors and so on. In the pre-pandemic normal, everyone knew that this was a problem, but were more interested in merely keeping the traffic moving. Some minor repairs here, some police ‘enforcement’ there, used to be all that could be done. While most people were unhappy with the state of affairs, it was rational for all of them to do nothing about it.The coronavirus pandemic has thrown this status quo up in the air. The lockdown offers several weeks wherein urban infrastructure can be put in place because there is little traffic on the streets. Junctions can be realigned. Bus stops and routes can be changed to make public transport more accessible. Motorists can be better regulated and habituated to follow traffic rules. The whole area can be cleaned up and new norms evolved against spitting and public urination. By no means a silver bullet, the pandemic and the resultant lockdown relax some of the acute constraints that previously made reform impossible.Read more
To meet world average, India must add at least 10 lakh doctors to healthcare force
India has long been short of doctors, nurses and hospital beds. And a recent working paper by Shruti Rajagopalan and Abishek Choutagunta of George Mason University’s Mercatus Center reminds us of that. Compared to the world average of 150 doctors per 100,000 people, India has only 86 doctors registered for practice. The actual number of doctors available for practice, as Basant Potnuru shows, is even lower: we probably have only around 64 doctors per 100,000 people, well below half the world average. Of course, the national average does not tell the whole story: southern states and urban areas are vastly better served than other parts of India. The picture with regard to nurses is relatively better, but there is still a shortage, regional variation and differences in skill levels.
We could take any indicator of healthcare capacity and find that as a country, we are short of it. Public expenditure on healthcare is low — our Union and state governments together spend around 1.5 per cent of GDP on health — and most of India relies on private, mostly out-of-pocket healthcare. Even as we point fingers at the government for spending too little on health, consider that only 20 per cent of the population has medical insurance. Perhaps it is yatha praja, tatha raja, and we have been collectively casual about our health.
To open or not to open India up: a dilemma that need not be one
Learn to be positive in coronavirus pandemic from this Vietnam war US navy pilot
During the Vietnam War, James Stockdale, a US navy pilot, was taken prisoner-of-war (POW) in 1965 and imprisoned in the infamous Hanoi Hilton for eight years, much of it in solitary confinement. As the author Jim Collins tells it in Good to Great, Stockdale was tortured “over 20 times…and lived out the war without any prisoner’s rights, no set release date, and no certainty as to whether he would even survive to see his family again. He shouldered the burden of command, doing everything he could to create conditions that would increase the number of prisoners who would survive unbroken, while fighting an internal war against his captors and their attempts to use the prisoners for propaganda.”Writing in 1999-2000, Collins knew that Stockdale survived the ordeal, was awarded the Medal of Honor in 1976, led the Naval War College and was Ross Perot’s running mate in the 1992 US presidential election. But he was struck by “how on earth did (Stockdale) deal with it when he was actually there and did not know the end of the story?(emphasis in the original)”
As Chorus of 'Chinese Virus' Rings Loudly in India, Is the Stage Set For an Info-Ops Tussle?
This article was originally published on The WireUsers of Indian Twitter, for want of a better term, will not have been able to escape the term ‘Chinese virus’ trending on the platform in the form of different hashtags over the last 10 days.What seemingly started off as agitprop by the American right has transcended boundaries and resonated in India as well, echoing sentiment that Beijing and the Chinese should be severely penalised for the COVID-19 pandemic.This sentiment was backed by what appeared to be some coordinated activity on Twitter from March 24 onward, around the time of India’s lockdown, all with the purpose of taking aim at China.#ChineseVirus19, #ChineseBioterrorisn, #Chinaliedpeopledied and #ChineseVirusCorona were some of the hashtags being used in favour of this narrative around March 24 and March 25.Read more
सोशल सिक्योरिटी को एक नए सिरे से सोचने का समय आ गया है
An edited version of this article appeared first on The Print Hindiअगले कुछ दिनों में कोविड-१९ के फैलाव को जल्द से जल्द रोकना केंद्र और राज्य सरकारों का प्राथमिक उद्देश्य रहेगा | साथ ही साथ यह भी बेहद ज़रूरी होगा कि लॉकडाउन से क्षतिग्रस्त ग़रीब लोगों के जीवन को फिर से संवारा जाए | अच्छी ख़बर यह है कि जनधन-आधार-मोबाइल की त्रिमूर्ति के रूप में भारत के पास एक ऐसा प्रभावशाली औज़ार है जिससे ज़रूरतमंद लोगों तक तेज़ी से सहायता पहुँचाई जा सकती है |इस महामारी से भारतीय अर्थव्यवस्था को इतनी बड़ी क्षति पहुँचेगी कि उसकी भरपाई सिर्फ सरकार नहीं कर पाएगी | मसलन, मोदी सरकार ने फुर्ती से १.७ लाख करोड़ के राहत पैकेज की घोषणा तो कर दी लेकिन सही माइनों में ज़रुरत है कई गुना बड़े पैकेज की - कम से कम पाँच प्रतिशत जीडीपी के करीब की | मतलब अगर आप सरकार के स्वास्थ्य, रक्षा, और मनरेगा पर सालाना खर्च को जोड़ कर एक राहत पैकेज बनाए तो वह भी अपर्याप्त होगा |अगर सरकार ऐच्छिक खर्च मसलन राष्ट्रीय राजधानी की रीमॉडलिंग को टाल भी दे, फिर भी उसके लिए 10 लाख करोड़ से ज़्यादा की रकम जुटाना मुश्किल होगा| करों में वृद्धि या सेस (cess) बढ़ाने से लेने के देने पड़ जाएँगे क्योंकि ऐसे साधनों से अर्थव्यवस्था को अपने पैरों पर खड़ा करना और भी मुश्किल हो जाता है |साधन १: पीएम-केयर फंडपीएम केअर के नामकरण को लेकर बेवजह का विवाद खड़ा किया जा रहा है | ठंडे दिमाग से सोचें तो ऐसे कोष नए नहीं हैं| राज्यों में मुख्यमंत्री राहत कोष हो या पीएम-केअर फंड, सरकार द्वारा प्रशासित यह राहत कोष उस जमाने की देन है जब हमारे पास ऐसी तकनीक नहीं थी कि हम ज़रूरतमंद की सटीक पहचान कर उन तक सहायता पहुंचा पाते|जैसा कि अर्थशास्त्री अजय शाह लिखते है, भारत में एक रुपये के सरकारी खर्च के लिए उसे समाज से तीन रुपए लेने पड़ते है | यह भारत की प्रशासनिक हालात को दर्शाता है | इस संख्या का मतलब यह कि पीएम/सीएम राहत कोश लोगों को राहत राशि पहुंचाने का सबसे बेहतरीन तरीका तो नहीं है | इसका मतलब यह कतई नहीं है कि हमें इन कोषों की ज़रूरत ही नहीं | कुछ ऐसे क्षेत्र है जहां सरकार का खर्च किया गया एक रूपया समाज को तीन रुपये से ज़्यादा का फ़ायदा पहुँचा सकता है | उदाहरण के लिए सार्वजनिक स्वास्थ्य, टीकाकरण, आपातकालीन खाद्य प्रावधान, सार्वजनिक आश्रय कुछ ऐसे खर्च है, जिनके प्रावधान से सरकार समाज से लिए हुए पैसों को सूद समेत वापस कर देती है |इसके आलावा दूरदराज़ के स्थानों में या आर्थिक रूप से कमजोर राज्यों में सरकार शायद एकमात्र एजेंसी है जो आर्थिक संरचना में निवेश कर सकती है | इसलिए इस तरह के कोष काम में आ सकते है, खासकर आज के हालात में | अच्छा होगा अगर व्यवसाय, दान-संस्थाएं, और आम नागरिक सब मिलकर इस पूँजी में अपना योगदान कर पाएँ |साधन २: २१वीं सदी का सोशल सिक्योरिटी अकाउंटइस पारम्परिक तरीक़े के अलावा, अब एक और ज़रिया है जिससे समाज के सभी हिस्से ज़रूरतमंदों तक सीधे पहुँच सकते है| मोदी सरकार को जल्द ही एक नागरिक-से-नागरिक हस्तांतरण योजना शुरू करनी चाहिए जिसके तहत कम्पनियाँ, दान-संस्थाएं, और आम नागरिक सीधे लाभार्थियों के बैंक खातों में पैसा डाल पाए | देखा जाए तो हम यह काम अनौपचारिक रूप से करते ही हैं जब हम अपने घर में काम करने वालों और पड़ोसियों को कुछ अतिरिक्त पैसा देते हैं | लेकिन जनधन-आधार-मोबाईल और यूपीआई की मदद से यह हस्तांतरण बहुत बड़े पैमाने पर किया जा सकता है |ज़रा सोचिए: एक ऐसा मल्टी-कंट्रीब्यूशन सिस्टम जिसमें किसी भी ज़रूरतमंद के जनधन अकाउंट को कई योगदान के स्त्रोत से टॉप-अप किया जा सके | एक ऐसा सामाजिक सुरक्षा खाता जिसमें राज्य सरकारें केंद्र के योगदान को टॉप-अप कर सकती हैं, या फिर सीएसआर (CSR) फंड्स निजी योगदान को टॉप-अप कर सकते है, या फिर एक एनजीओ (NGO) संस्था किसी आम नागरिक के योगदान को टॉप-अप कर सकती है | इन स्त्रोतों से इकट्ठा की गयी राशि आपके एक जान-पहचान वाले व्यक्ति के जन-धन खाते में यूपीआई से सीधे डाली जा सकती है, या एक अज्ञात व्यक्ति के खाते में, जिसे आप जनसांख्यिकीय मानदंडों (आयु, स्थान, आय) के आधार पर परिभाषित कर सकते हैं | साथ ही इस हस्तांतरण के बदले में आपको टैक्स कटौती का लाभ भी मिल सकता है | यह सही मायनों में २१वी सदी की सामाजिक सुरक्षा प्रणाली होगी | सामाजिक रूप से हस्तांतरित इस रूपये की समाजिक लागत 3 रुपए से कम होगी जो कि एक सरकारी चैनल के माध्यम से किए जाने वाले ट्रांस्फर से होती | इस टेक्नोलॉजी से ज़रूरतमंदों की बेहतर पहचान कर सकते हैं बजाय किसी अनजान सरकारी कर्मचारी की उदारता पर निर्भर होने के | वैसे तो ये एक मूल ढाँचा है और इसका दुरुपयोग न हो, उसके लिए कुछ संशोधन ज़रूर करने होंगे | टैक्स कटौती की सीमा तय की जा सकती है और एक निश्चित सीमा से ऊपर के डोनेशन को सेवानिवृत्ति / स्वास्थ्य सेवा खातों में डाला जा सकता है| मानदंड-आधारित दान स्कीम भी शुरू की जा सकती है | मुझे यकीन है कि ऐसे सौ तरीकें है जिनसे इस तरह की व्यवस्था का दुरुपयोग किया जा सकता है लेकिन इसे हमें इन कारणों को एक बेहतर सामाजिक सुरक्षा प्रणाली की ओर अग्रसर होने में रूकावट नहीं बनने देना चाहिए |वास्तव में, समाज को खुद की मदद करने के लिए सक्षम बनाना भारतीय परंपरा का एक अटूट अंग रहा है | राजनीतिक सिद्धांतकार पार्थ चटर्जी रवींद्रनाथ टैगोर के इन्हीं तर्ज पर विचार को कुछ इस तरह से पेश करते हैं: “भारत में अंग्रेजों के आने से पहले, समाज अपनी पहल से लोगों की जरूरतों को को पूरा करता था | वह जरूरी कार्यों के लिए राज्य की ओर नहीं देखा करता था| राजा युद्ध या शिकार करने जाते थे, कुछ राजा राजकार्य छोड़ अपने आनंद और मनोरंजन में ही व्यस्त रहते थे और रियासतों को उसके हाल पर छोड़ देते थे | ऐसे समय में भी समाज में कष्ट भुगतने की बजाय कर्तव्यों को अलग-अलग व्यक्तियों के बीच में ही आवंटित कर दिया जाता था| जिस व्यवस्था से यह सारा काम किया जाता था उसे धर्म कहा जाता था|”कोरोनोवायरस महामारी से बनी परिस्तिथि ने एक आवश्यकता को वह अब एक अनिवार्यता में बदल दिया है | मोदी सरकार को अपने ही विचारों को तार्किक निष्कर्ष की ओर ले जाना चाहिए: सामाजिक सुरक्षा को वास्तव में सामाजिक बनाना बनाकर| कोरोनोवायरस और लॉकडाउन से प्रभावितों को राहत देना इस नई सोच के लिए एक शुभ शुरुआत होगी|(Translated by Pranay Kotasthane)
We must avert an economic disaster due to Covid-19
Indian economy will suffer due to COVID-19, but govt can ease the pain for individuals and firms with decisive and meaningful action nowFor businesses, the union government should think of delaying GST payments, tax credits, and any other policy that could support employers to keep their staff on board. As on March 24, the Finance Minister, Nirmala Sitharaman has announced a few measures to ease the compliance and regulatory burden for businesses: increasing the threshold of default that triggers the insolvency and bankruptcy proceedings from 1 lakh to 1 crore, easing some of the rules for corporate affairs, and extending extending the deadline to pay excise and customs duty and GST. Government should ensure that the flow of critical supplies and services are uninterrupted, including food, healthcare, security, groceries and other provisions, electricity, telecom, ATM and banking.Most importantly, we need to think about how to protect the unorganised and informal workforce. While the salaried class, small as it may be, can afford to work from home and be assured of payments at the end of the month, the daily wage earner does not have the same luxury. A limited form of targeted Basic Income (not universal) using the JAM (Jan Dhan-Aadhaar-Mobile) trinity could be used to ensure sustenance. The union government can use the unexpected bonanza from the lowering of oil prices to fund some of these programmes.It is important, however, that any policy made for these emergency purposes come with sunset clauses. If not, the extraordinary measures to combat the disease and its impact will linger on far after the disease has faded from human memory.Read more here
Look ahead of the current crisis to plan for an economic revival
Public sharing of home quarantine addresses a bad idea
This article originally appeared in Deccan Herald
On March 24, several WhatsApp groups catering to apartment associations started buzzing with excel files containing addresses of those who were placed under home quarantine. The source was a website run by the Government of Karnataka which contained details for all districts in Karnataka (deleted ‘purportedly’). This author was eventually able to access the website which contained approximately 30 files. It is unclear whose decision it was to make these details public. Statements from government officials indicate this was a deliberate step. However, it seems to be at odds with how sensitively matters are reportedly being handled by teams on the ground, who were informing nearby residents as needed.
Why is this a bad idea?
On March 14, a leading English daily misreported a story that the spouse of a patient who had tested positive for COVID-19 had skipped quarantine and traveled to another Indian city. There were several calls for exemplary punishment, but it later turned out that the person in question had not violated quarantine instructions at the time of travelling. Sure, certain questionable decisions were made subsequently. But we need to be aware that these are unprecedented times and no one is really prepared to deal with the situation. The fear and self-preservation instinct is apparent. But there is also a danger of uncontrolled reactions by the general public in such a scenario.
Over the last few days we have also seen disturbing reports of airline crew and healthcare professionals facing a backlash at their respective places of residence. Videos have also emerged showing people physically abusing fellow citizens for coughing in public and not wearing masks. Regrettably citizens from the North-East have been subject to racial abuse.
This is why it is ill-advised to publicly share this kind of information. While individual names and phone numbers have not been shared, an address is enough to enable targeting (changed slightly). In information security terms, it can be considered a form of doxing people (publicly posting personal information). The individuals living at those addresses have been put at risk of being on the receiving end of discriminatory and abusive behaviour. While some of them may have violated their quarantine instructions, treating all of them as potential criminals is not an acceptable response (changed slightly).
Unwittingly aiding the flow of information
Another important aspect to consider is the role of unaffected individuals in circulating this information. The Bengaluru version of the list was doing the rounds on WhatsApp since the evening of March 24. And it continued to be circulated by people even if they disagreed with the practice or could not vouch for its authenticity. As expected, the link to the website eventually made its way onto Twitter and was shared by users with a large number of followers. Others shared it with the intention of being helpful and sharing information. Unfortunately, in such a situation, these actions only aided the virality of the information.
There is also a tendency to believe that since the information is already out there, individual sharing actions do not matter. However, when the information in question can put someone else at risk, we must consider the downstream implications of that individual action too.
What is the right way to react?
Understanding how to react to minimise the risk to others in such situations is important. Although it is tempting to share such information with acquaintances or Tweet about specifics while disagreeing with the action, it is necessary to consider if the unintended consequence of the action.
If the intention is to raise awareness about the lack of sensitivity, then the act itself can be highlighted without sharing the location/source of such information. It must be remembered that this action can have the second order effect of nudging others to look for it.
Another possible course of action is to reach out directly to the authorities who have made this information public. This may not be possible in all situations but can be an effective strategy. It should be noted that their actions or decisions are not always taken with bad intentions. Those responsible may react positively to such interventions if the risks are clearly highlighted to them.
Why is sharing-hygiene important?
This sharing hygiene is especially important as we see more [information disorder] flooding our lives. The large platforms where this information proliferates are attempting to take measures to tackle this but such content moderation at scale is impossible to do well. It is as much a demand-side problem as it is a supply-side problem. Passively sharing information may have more consequences than we realise. We have a collective role to play in curbing information disorder.
Is the government doing enough to fight Corona on health & economic fronts?
The events of the past few weeks have served as a grave reminder of the challenges of living in a globalised world. The benefits of globalisation and its impact on human progress can never be understated. However, every once in a while, through global financial crises or through pandemics such as the one we are currently witnessing with COVID-19, we are also reminded of its perils. What started in Wuhan, China, in late 2019 has within a few months, impacted over 267,000 people in 185 countries, unfortunately killing more than 11,000 people as of 22nd March 2020 already.The economic and social impact of this pandemic will only unfold over time but the early signs are not comforting. An estimated 25 million jobs are likely to be lost due to the COVID-19 crisis, pushing millions more into underemployment and working poverty. With supply chain disruptions impacting almost every sector including Information Technology, Manufacturing, Entertainment, Travel, and Retail, stock markets across the world have witnessed their worst performances since the 2008 global financial crisis. Global income is expected to shirk by as much as US $ 2 trillion in 2020, with developing economies alone bearing as much as US $ 220 billion of the impact. The resulting economic shock and looming financial crisis is expected to push the global annual growth below 2.5% in 2020.The full article is published in and available on The Quint
If India has to control coronavirus pandemic, it must contain 4 other contagions as well
The infodemic and the behavioural contagion feed off each other, and higher levels of social anxiety exacerbate the process. Similarly, the psychological and economic contagions reinforce each other and are in turn amplified by informational, behavioural and viral contagions. The complex interactions among five contagions make it much harder to contain the spread of the coronavirus that triggered this cascade. This why a governmental response focused on public health alone (with some information management thrown in) will not suffice.Just like there are war cabinets during wartime, the multiple pandemics call for a pandemic cabinet. If there ever was a time for the cliched whole of government approach, it is now.Read more